By CCN Markets: The Dow Jones bounced over 1% on Wednesday, and not even an epic Trump rant was enough to spoil the stock market’s party.
Dark clouds returned, however, as the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) dropped a $1 trillion bombshell about US debt.
Strong Consumer Bails Out Dow Jones After Trump Attacks Fed
The Dow Jones Industrial Average began the afternoon session on firm footing, having gained as much as 300 points earlier in the day. The DJIA last traded at 26,246.44 for a gain of 284 points or 1.09%.
Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve take up so much media oxygen in the stock market that it’s often easy to ignore far purer fundamentals.
Just this morning, the president unleashed a savage attack on the Fed ahead of the FOMC minutes release this afternoon.
….WHERE IS THE FEDERAL RESERVE?
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 21, 2019
However, fundamentals always win out, and today there is no doubt that the Dow is enjoying plenty of support from excellent retail sales data.
The spike in new home sales is another sign of healthy underlying economic activity, suggesting that lower interest rates may be doing their job.
A final sign of consumer strength came as EIA crude oil inventories fell more than expected.
US Debt Bombshell: CBO Says Deficit Will Hit $1 Trillion in 2020
Far more concerning for the Dow Jones was the publication of a non-partisan CBO report stating that the federal budget deficit will overshoot $1 trillion much earlier than anticipated.
That’s a clear blow to the Trump administration’s “pay for itself” tax cut last year.
about Mnuchin’s claim that 2017 tax cut would pay for itself and reduce federal debt, 2 CBO projections:
Jan 2017 as Obama departed WH
total US debt by 2027: $24.8-trillion
share of GDP: 88.9%
now, in Trump’s 3rd year
total debt by 2027: $26.4-trillion
share of GDP: 92.4%
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) August 21, 2019
From the report:
“In CBO’s projections, the federal budget deficit is $960 billion in 2019 and averages $1.2 trillion between 2020 and 2029. Over the coming decade, deficits (after adjustments to exclude the effects of shifts in the timing of certain payments) fluctuate between 4.4 percent and 4.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), well above the average over the past 50 years. CBO’s estimate of the deficit for 2019 is now $63 billion more—and its projection of the cumulative deficit over the 2020–2029 period, $809 billion more—than it was in May 2019.”
Dow Stocks: Boeing Surges on 737 Hiring, Apple Launches Credit Card
The major Dow Jones stocks were led into the green by Boeing’s 2.75% surge. The largest US aerospace company indicated it was prepared to hire hundreds of temporary workers to relaunch the infamous 737 Max earlier than planned.
Apple enjoyed a 1.3% bounce, as investors eye its new credit card offering with plenty of hype surrounding the Goldman Sachs backed product.